Dearolf declines Josh Allen at 25, drafts Bo Nix instead

Fourteen picks and not one of them autodrafted, so Chris Dearolf was awake and present for every decision on this page. He opened from the eighth slot with Jaxon Smith-Njigba, took Nico Collins at 25 and Malik Nabers at 40, and the receiving room he built out of that is the best thing about this team by a comfortable margin: the third-best WR1 in the league at 269.2 points, the third-best WR2 at 211.7 points, and Nabers at 202.0 points in the flex. Sam LaPorta at 160.0 points is a fifth-best tight end. That is four starting spots handled before the draft was half over. It also came with a bill. Josh Allen and his 370.0 points were sitting on the board when Collins went at 25 and survived three more picks, and the third receiver was still tagged Questionable on draft day with a torn ACL behind him and a new quarterback, a new coach and a new playcaller waiting for him.

The bill arrived at running back, where the first back Dearolf drafted showed up in round four and is now the man he starts every week. Rhamondre Stevenson, 185.2 points, 15th of 16 among this league's RB1s in a year when the best one is worth 335.2 points, and ESPN's own write-up files him as a bench body splitting New England's carries with TreVeyon Henderson. The depth behind him is Jonathon Brooks, who has torn the same ACL twice and appeared in one game across two seasons, RJ Harvey in a Denver timeshare, and Braelon Allen at 87.9 points, who does not play while Breece Hall is upright. Quarterback tells the same story from a different angle: Bo Nix at 295.7 points is the 15th-best starter of 16, and the number at the top of that list is 370.0, which is Josh Allen's, which is the pick from paragraph one. Having assembled that backfield, Dearolf used his eleventh-round pick on a second quarterback.

The defense is the one that will age badly. Dearolf drafted the Eagles D/ST in 2017, 2023 and 2024, a three-year habit that asked nothing of him and worked fine, and the first year he goes shopping elsewhere he comes home with the 49ers at 93.7 points, dead last of sixteen, taken off a write-up that reads like an instruction not to draft it. All of it adds up to 1560.3 points and 10th of 16, which is the shape of a team that is excellent at one position group and starting from a hole at three others. The man who won the whole thing in 2022 and lost the final in 2021 will spend this season watching his wide receivers do beautiful work and then handing the ball to Rhamondre Stevenson.

1560.3 points, 10 of 16
SlotPlayerProjAt this slot
QB Bo Nix 295.7 15 of 16
RB Rhamondre Stevenson 185.2 15 of 16
WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba 269.2 3 of 16
WR Nico Collins 211.7 3 of 16
TE Sam LaPorta 160.0 5 of 16
DST 49ers D/ST 93.7 16 of 16
K Chris Boswell 142.8 12 of 16
FLEX Malik Nabers 202.0 6 of 16
Bench
RB Jonathon Brooks 154.4 RB32 overall
RB RJ Harvey 139.7 RB40 overall
WR KC Concepcion 138.3 WR47 overall
TE Hunter Henry 123.0 TE17 overall
QB Malik Willis 275.0 QB21 overall
RB Braelon Allen 87.9 RB52 overall

Half-PPR season points. The lineup is fixed by draft order, so switching service changes the numbers and never who is in the chair. The written copy above is from the median and does not move.

RdOverallPlayerPosVerdict
1 8 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR 3 vs 3 routine
2 25 Nico Collins WR 10 vs 9 questionable

Josh Allen and his 370.0 points were sitting on ESPN's board when this pick was made, and lasted three more picks to 28. Collins is a perfectly good second receiver; the quarterback Dearolf eventually settled for was not.

3 40 Malik Nabers questionable WR 15 vs 13 questionable

Three receivers to open the draft, and the third is coming off a torn ACL, was still listed Questionable on draft day, and has a new quarterback, a new coach and a new playcaller waiting for him. Zay Flowers, healthy and projected for 210.3 points against Nabers' 202.0, went two picks later at 42.

4 57 Rhamondre Stevenson RB 25 vs 25 questionable

The first running back of this draft arrives in round four, and ESPN's own write-up files him as a bench body splitting New England's carries with TreVeyon Henderson. He is now the RB1 on a roster that sits 15th of 16 at the position, 185.2 points where the league's best is 335.2, and Jayden Daniels went two picks later at 59.

5 72 Sam LaPorta questionable TE 7 vs 8 routine
6 89 Jonathon Brooks questionable RB 31 vs 33 questionable

The third player on this roster carrying a Questionable tag, and this one has torn the same ACL twice and appeared in one game across two seasons. Rico Dowdle, 172.6 points against Brooks' 154.4, went two picks later at 91, and Stefon Diggs, a Dearolf draftee in 2020, 2021 and 2023, was also sitting there and went at 92.

7 104 Bo Nix QB 13 vs 13 questionable

Nix went exactly where the market had him, the 13th quarterback off the board in a 16-team league, which is how a roster ends up with the 15th-best starting quarterback of 16 at 295.7 points. Brock Purdy and his 310.8 points were still on the board at the time and survived two more picks to 106.

8 121 RJ Harvey RB 40 vs 39 routine
9 136 KC Concepcion WR 55 vs 55 routine
10 153 Hunter Henry TE 18 vs 16 routine
11 168 Malik Willis QB questionable

A second quarterback in round 11, on a team whose running backs are a committee man in New England, a twice-torn ACL in Carolina and a timeshare back in Denver. Willis at 275.0 points is a fun lottery ticket and a strange use of the bench spot.

12 185 Braelon Allen RB questionable

Allen is coming off a season-ending knee injury, does not play while Breece Hall is upright, and projects 87.9 points. Jerry Jeudy, 113.9 points, was right there and went five picks later at 190.

13 200 49ers D/ST DST questionable

ESPN's write-up on this defense reads as an instruction not to draft it, and the result is the worst D/ST in the league at 93.7 points where the best is 130.8. Dearolf took the Eagles D/ST in 2017, 2023 and 2024; the year he goes shopping elsewhere he finishes 16th of 16.

14 217 Chris Boswell K routine

Keeps going back to

  • Eagles D/ST — 2017, 2023, 2024
  • Stefon Diggs — 2020, 2021, 2023
  • Tevin Coleman — 2016, 2017, 2018
  • A.J. Green — 2012, 2013, 2014