Rademaker rejects Kittle, reaches for Kincaid 25 picks later

Ten drafts into his career in this league, Rademaker finally got a top-five slot, his previous best being fifth in 2023, and he did the correct thing with it. Puka Nacua at four, 291.0 points, the best WR1 among all sixteen teams. Then the board rolls on and nothing else on this page is that clean. All fourteen picks were made by hand, too, with no autodraft anywhere, so there is nobody to hand the blame to.

The wound is at tight end, and it was self-inflicted at pick 68. Harold Fannin Jr. and his 158.0 points were sitting there, George Kittle and his 155.0 points were sitting there, and Rademaker took Tony Pollard, whose 163.4 points now make him the 14th-best flex of 16. Fannin went at 80, Kittle at 83, and twenty-five picks later the invoice arrived in the form of Dalton Kincaid, taken twelfth at the position when the market had him fifteenth. Kincaid's 130.0 points rank 13th of 16, and he has never finished a season better than 14th among tight ends in points per game. Rademaker then drafted Brenton Strange at 122.7 points, which is not a hedge so much as an admission that he knew. He spent his final pick of the draft on Germie Bernard while AJ Barner (103.0 points) and Chig Okonkwo (100.5 points) went undrafted by all sixteen teams.

The backfield is no kinder. Kyren Williams starts at RB1 with 213.4 points, 14th of 16 in a league where the top back projects 335.2, and Rademaker passed on Breece Hall and Javonte Williams to get him. Behind that sits Aaron Jones Sr., drafted here for the fourth time after 2018, 2021 and 2024, now 31 and coming off a season in which he finished dead last among 65 backs with 50-plus carries in forced missed tackle rate. The genuine bright spot after Nacua is Cameron Dicker, whose 161.9 points rank 2nd of 16 among kickers, which means the second-best-placed man on this roster is the man who kicks. The starting lineup comes to 1578.7 points, 8th of 16, which is the middle of the league from the fourth pick overall, and a long way from the 2024 final he lost to Kane.

1578.7 points, 8 of 16
SlotPlayerProjAt this slot
QB Joe Burrow 313.7 7 of 16
RB Kyren Williams 213.4 14 of 16
WR Puka Nacua 291.0 1 of 16
WR DeVonta Smith 197.3 4 of 16
TE Dalton Kincaid 130.0 13 of 16
DST Eagles D/ST 108.0 9 of 16
K Cameron Dicker 161.9 2 of 16
FLEX Tony Pollard 163.4 14 of 16
Bench
RB Aaron Jones Sr. 148.1 RB34 overall
WR Khalil Shakir 136.0 WR50 overall
QB Tyler Shough 279.6 QB19 overall
RB Ray Davis 40.1 RB73 overall
TE Brenton Strange 122.7 TE18 overall
WR Germie Bernard 88.5 WR76 overall

Half-PPR season points. The lineup is fixed by draft order, so switching service changes the numbers and never who is in the chair. The written copy above is from the median and does not move.

RdOverallPlayerPosVerdict
1 4 Puka Nacua WR 2 vs 2 routine

Tenth draft in this league and the first time he has ever picked as high as fourth, against a previous best of fifth in 2023. He spent it on a 291.0-point receiver who comes out 1st of 16 among this league's WR1s, which is the last unambiguously good thing that happens on this page.

2 29 Kyren Williams RB 14 vs 15 questionable

Breece Hall (223.6 points) lasted until 33 and Javonte Williams (225.0 points) until 34, both of them projected well clear of Kyren's 213.4 points. The back he took instead is 14th of 16 among this league's RB1s.

3 36 DeVonta Smith WR 13 vs 14 questionable

George Pickens and his 217.2 points sat there for two more picks and went at 38. Smith's 197.3 points still make him the 4th-best WR2 in the league, so the bill is small, but it was paid for nothing.

4 61 Joe Burrow QB 6 vs 5 routine
5 68 Tony Pollard RB 26 vs 28 questionable

Jaylen Warren (174.0 points) was on the board and went at 74, while Pollard's 163.4 points became a flex ranked 14th of 16 in this league. Worse, George Kittle (158.0-point Harold Fannin Jr. too) was sitting here unclaimed: Fannin went at 80, Kittle and his 155.0 points at 83, and the consequences arrive 25 picks later.

6 93 Dalton Kincaid TE 12 vs 15 reach

Twelfth tight end off the board when the market had him fifteenth, which is the invoice for taking Pollard over Kittle or Fannin at 68. Kincaid has never finished a season better than 14th among tight ends in points per game, and his 130.0 points leave this roster 13th of 16 at the position.

7 100 Aaron Jones Sr. RB 34 vs 36 questionable

The fourth time he has drafted Aaron Jones, after 2018, 2021 and 2024, and the least defensible of the four: Jones is 31 and finished last season dead last among 65 backs with 50-plus carries in forced missed tackle rate. The services have no idea what to do with him either, Draft Sharks at 124.0 points and RotoBaller at 165.0, and J.K. Dobbins (165.5 points) went five picks later at 105.

8 125 Khalil Shakir questionable WR 50 vs 51 questionable

Shakir was listed Questionable on draft day and projects 136.0 points; Jayden Reed (144.9 points) went at 127 and Romeo Doubs (140.5 points) at 129.

9 132 Tyler Shough QB 19 vs 19 routine

Exactly where the market had him at QB19, and with Burrow having missed at least six games in three of his six seasons, a second quarterback is the rare hedge on this roster that answers a real question.

10 157 Eagles D/ST DST 4 vs 7 reach

Fourth defense off the board when the market had him seventh, in a league where everybody sits on their hands at the position until the end. The Eagles land 9th of 16 among this league's starting defenses.

11 164 Cameron Dicker questionable K 4 vs 2 routine

Dicker's 161.9 points rank 2nd of 16 among this league's kickers, making him the best-placed man on the roster after Nacua and better placed than the tight end, the running back and the flex combined. He was also listed Questionable on the day.

12 189 Ray Davis RB questionable

Davis is the insurance policy on James Cook III, who went at overall 7 to somebody else entirely. That is 40.1 points of protection for another manager's roster, and Jerry Jeudy (113.9 points) went with the very next pick at 190.

13 196 Brenton Strange TE routine

A second tight end at 122.7 points behind a first tight end at 130.0 points is less a hedge than a confession.

14 221 Germie Bernard WR questionable

Last pick of the draft with the 13th-ranked tight end spot of 16 still unfixed, and AJ Barner (103.0 points) and Chig Okonkwo (100.5 points) went undrafted by all sixteen teams. Bernard projects 88.5 points and opens the season third or fourth in line in Pittsburgh.

Keeps going back to

  • Aaron Jones Sr. — 2018, 2021, 2024, 2026
  • T.J. Hockenson — 2021, 2022, 2025
  • Travis Kelce — 2018, 2020, 2023
  • Nico Collins — 2021, 2022, 2023